Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
