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[monks data]
Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 4
May 1, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
BBVA Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Houston
1 - 1
Los Angeles

Pasher (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Baird (55')
Murillo (29')

Preview: Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles FC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Houston Dynamo take on Los Angeles FC in the Western Conference of MLS on Saturday, with the visitors looking to maintain their unbeaten record in the early stages of the season.

Houston, meanwhile, have won one match and lost one so far.


Match preview

Houston Dynamo coach Tab Ramos wears a face mask during a game against the LAFC at Banc of California Stadium in October 2020© Reuters

Having won the MLS Championship in each of their two debut campaigns in 2006 and 2007, Houston have slipped in status in recent years, only qualifying for the playoffs once in the last seven seasons.

Indeed, their 12th-placed finish in the Western Conference last season was their worst since being founded in 2005, with Tab Ramos perhaps fortunate to hold onto his job as head coach heading into this campaign.

It has been a mixed bag so far, securing a 2-1 win over San Jose Earthquakes on the opening day before falling to a 2-1 defeat to Portland Timbers last time out.

Ramos will be hoping for a more convincing performance from his players on Saturday, although that is unlikely to be easy against a dynamic Los Angeles outfit which resembles Houston in their early years in many ways.

Los Angeles FC (LAFC) coach Bob Bradley wears a face mask during a game against the Houston Dynamo at Banc of California Stadium in October 2020© Reuters

Indeed, having only joined the MLS in 2018, Los Angeles have reached the playoffs in each of their three seasons so far, finishing first in the Western Conference in 2019 before recording their best showing when losing in the semi-final that year.

Perhaps even more impressively, Bob Bradley's side finished as runners-up in the CONCACAF Champions League last season, dramatically losing 2-1 to Mexican side Tigres in the final after late strikes from Hugo Ayala and Andre-Pierre Gignac.

Los Angeles have began the domestic season in decent fashion so far, beating Austin FC 2-0 on the opening day before claiming a point from their 1-1 draw against Seattle Sounders.

Former United States national team boss Bradley will be demanding more from his side in the upcoming weeks, though, with Jose Cifuentes, Diego Rossi and former Arsenal winger Carlos Vela forming a fearsome frontline when fit and firing.

Houston Dynamo Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • L

Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • D



Team News

Los Angeles FC forward Carlos Vela (10) celebrates after scoring a goal during the first half against Inter Miami CF at Banc of California Stadium on March 2, 2020© Reuters

Ramos will hope to welcome Sam Junqua and Ethan Bartlow back to his matchday squad after both players suffered from concussion earlier in April.

Christian Ramirez, who earned two caps and scored one goal for the United States national team in 2019, may receive a start in attack having only been used from the bench in the first two matches of the season.

Los Angeles, meanwhile, are fearing they may have to travel to Houston without captain Vela after he was substituted against Austin due to a hamstring injury, with Cifuentes likely to replace him in the starting XI.

Rossi may also miss out once more for the same reason, with Erik Duenas, Mohamed Traore and Danny Musovski all injury doubts, too.

Right-back Tristan Blackmon is quarantining and therefore unavailable for selection, with Jordan Harvey and Marco Farfan potentially having to cover him on their unfavoured side of the pitch.

Houston Dynamo possible starting lineup:
Maric; Valentin, Parker, Garcia, Lundqvist; Vera, Corona; Picault, Rodriguez, Pasher; Ramirez

Los Angeles FC possible starting lineup:
Sisniega; Harvey, Murillo, Segura, Palacios; Blessing, Atuesta, Kaye; Cifuentes, Musovski, Baird


SM words green background

We say: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Los Angeles FC

Ordinarily we would make the visitors favourites here, but given their injury issues, Houston may feel confident of gaining a positive result.

Vela, who is one of the most talented players in MLS, will undoubtedly be a huge miss to Los Angeles if his hamstring injury keeps him out as expected.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:445313:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8920:
Written by
Brett Curtis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (5.44%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Houston vs Los Angeles

Houston Dynamo
16.7%
Draw
50.0%
Los Angeles FC
33.3%
6
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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