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Huesca logo
La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2021 at 5pm UK
Estadio El Alcoraz
Valencia logo

Huesca
0 - 0
Valencia


Ferreiro (34'), Siovas (55')
FT

Guillamon (20')

Preview: Huesca vs. Valencia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Huesca and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Pacheta's Huesca will host Valencia this Saturday at El Alcoraz knowing that anything less than three points could well spell the end of their La Liga journey.

For Huesca to retain their top-flight credentials, the task is straightforward enough: pick up the three points, maintain a better goal difference than Elche and hope their relegation rivals lose.


Match preview

Huesca's Javi Galan celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in February 2021© Reuters

With two wins and four losses from their last six league outings, Huesca have taken their fans on an emotional rollercoaster over the last few weeks, flirting with the idea of a great escape.

Currently 17th in the standings with 33 points and marginally better goal difference than the teams around them, Huesca are in pole position to survive, but that could all change when the games get underway on Saturday afternoon.

Huesca have failed to win any of their three La Liga matches against Valencia, with their 6-2 loss to Los Che in May 2019 being their biggest top-flight defeat at El Alcoraz.

However, Huesca have won their last two home games in La Liga, the only time Pacheta's men have recorded back-to-back home wins in the top-flight.

Pacheta's survival hopes could hinge on star-striker Rafa Mir, who has scored 13 goals in 37 games for Huesca, overtaking Chimy Avila as the team's top scorer in the competition.

Valencia forward Goncalo Guedes pictured on February 14, 2021© Reuters

With two wins from their last three league games, Voro's interim management appears to be going a lot better than many would have expected.

Wins against Real Valladolid and Eibar have seen Los Che net seven goals, while Voro's men were undone by Sevilla who beat them 1-0 in Andalusia.

Currently 13th in the standings with 42 points, Valencia have ended the season strongly, despite starting it very weakly.

One of the reasons why Los Che have upped the ante in recent weeks has be been due to the impressive form of midfield maestro Carlos Soler, who has scored 11 goals in 31 top-flight games this season, including three in his last four matches.

Whoever takes the reins this summer at Mestalla will hope and pray that the 24-year-old plans on committing himself to his boyhood club.

Huesca La Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Valencia La Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Huesca's Rafa Mir in action against Real Madrid on February 6, 2021© Reuters

The biggest absentees for Pacheta this weekend are Pablo Insua, who is out with an ACL injury and Denis Vavro, who injured his hamstring.

Other notable absentees include Eugeni Valderrama, Antonio Valera and Luisinho.

Valencia's squad are currently fully fit and firing on all cylinders, something that will bode well for their summer recuperation.

Voro is expected to persevere with his faith in his backline, once again sacrificing an attacking player to play three at the back.

Huesca possible starting lineup:
Fernandez; Silva, Pulido, Siovas; Maffeo, Galan, Rico, Ferreiro, Seoane; Sandro, Mir

Valencia possible starting lineup:
Cillessen; Correia, Gabriel, Guillamon, Diakhaby, Gaya; Lee, Wass, Soler, Guedes; Gomez


SM words green background

We say: Huesca 1-0 Valencia

Huesca come into this game on the back of a couple of good home wins and, with desperation, hope and the plight of survival on their side, we think Pacheta's men will give Valencia a run for their money and pick up the three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Written by
Francis Buchanan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Huesca vs Valencia

Huesca
34.9%
Draw
17.5%
Valencia
47.6%
63
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Almeria21116440291139
2MirandesMirandes21115525151038
3Racing de SantanderRacing2111552722538
4ElcheElche21106528151336
5Real Oviedo2110563329435
6Huesca219662920933
7Granada219663527833
8Levante208843023732
9Sporting GijonSporting Gijon218672925430
10Malaga2161232119230
11Real ZaragozaZaragoza218583126529
12CastellonCastellon218583130129
13EibarEibar218492022-228
14CordobaCordoba217682833-527
15Albacete216872528-326
16Burgos217591825-726
17Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo206682927224
18CadizCadiz215882430-623
19Eldense2156102129-821
20Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol213991428-1418
21CartagenaCartagena2142151536-2114
22TenerifeTenerife1925121429-1511


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