International Friendly
Nov 20, 2022 at 1.20am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Colombia2 - 0Paraguay
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Colombia
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in International Friendlies
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in International Friendlies
We said: Colombia 2-0 Paraguay
Colombia have made a bright start under the tutelage of Lorenzo and they will fancy their chances of success against a goal-shy Paraguay outfit. Even though Los Cafeteros are missing a couple of star names due to injury, they should have enough quality in their side to claim a routine win in Florida. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 75.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 7.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.56%) and 3-0 (11.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Colombia in this match.
Result | ||
Colombia | Draw | Paraguay |
75.12% ( 26.45) | 17.1% ( -9.45) | 7.79% ( -17) |
Both teams to score 36.67% ( -10.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.59% ( 7.35) | 49.41% ( -7.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.54% ( 6.25) | 71.45% ( -6.25) |
Colombia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.5% ( 11.88) | 11.5% ( -11.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.63% ( 20.98) | 36.37% ( -20.99) |
Paraguay Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.44% ( -20.07) | 58.56% ( 20.07) |