MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 01:56:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
2 - 2
Jubilo Iwata

Miyamoto (14'), Akiyama (27')
Ono (20')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Germain (66', 90+1')
Yamada (25'), Suzuki (45+1'), Germain (57')
Peixoto (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Jubilo Iwata, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 1-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Reims
Wednesday, July 24 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Jubilo Iwata

With the stakes high ahead of this contest, we do not expect either side to be particularly attacking. There is an argument that they would each take a point if it was offered to them beforehand, leading us to back a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawJubilo Iwata
40.93% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.43% (0.0040000000000013 0) 34.64% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.73% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)43.27% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.33% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)65.66% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)21.22% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.88% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)54.12% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.46% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)58.91% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 40.93%
    Jubilo Iwata 34.64%
    Draw 24.43%
Albirex NiigataDrawJubilo Iwata
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 40.93%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 5.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.98% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.64%

How you voted: Albirex Niigata vs Jubilo Iwata

Albirex Niigata
57.9%
Draw
31.6%
Jubilo Iwata
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 11am
Gameweek 6
Jubilo Iwata
2-0
Albirex Niigata
Germain (75' pen., 79')
Germain (67')

Komi (7'), Hoshi (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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