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J1 League | Gameweek 30
Sep 16, 2022 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
1 - 1
Kashima Antlers

Miyashiro (34')
Naganuma (44'), Seok-Ho (65'), Park (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arthur (58')
Nago (90+3'), Iwamasa (90+8')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League

Kashima Antlers

Last Six:
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, September 10 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawKashima Antlers
35.36% (0.16 0.16) 27.37% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 37.26% (-0.159 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.69% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.89% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)77% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (0.10599999999999 0.11)30.09% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.77% (0.125 0.13)66.23% (-0.122 -0.12)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)28.93% (0.092000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (-0.113 -0.11)64.8% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 35.36%
    Kashima Antlers 37.26%
    Draw 27.37%
Sagan TosuDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.36%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 10.79% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.7% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.26%

Head to Head
May 25, 2022 11am
Kashima Antlers
4-4
Sagan Tosu
Higuchi (52'), Ueda (68'), Doi (90+2'), Someno (90+4')
Tashiro (31', 90+7'), Miyashiro (38'), Koizumi (49')
Tashiro (58')
Nov 27, 2021 5am
Kashima Antlers
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Ueda (14')
Ueda (65'), Silva (72')
May 22, 2021 6am
Sagan Tosu
2-1
Kashima Antlers
Yamashita (50'), Higuchi (78')
Dudu (41'), Seok-Ho (87')
Matsumura (14')
Oct 14, 2020 10.45am
Sagan Tosu
0-2
Kashima Antlers

Matsuoka (60')
Shirasaki (12'), Inukai (86')
Shirasaki (41')
Aug 8, 2020 10.30am
Kashima Antlers
2-0
Sagan Tosu
Izumi (69'), Stum (80')
Machida (45')

Morishita (5')
rhs 2.0
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