Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 40.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.29%) and 1-2 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Mallorca |
29.3% ( -0.1) | 29.91% ( -0.05) | 40.79% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 41.26% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.38% ( 0.13) | 65.62% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.68% ( 0.09) | 84.32% ( -0.09) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.4% ( -0.01) | 39.6% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.71% ( -0) | 76.28% ( 0) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.32% ( 0.16) | 31.68% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.9% ( 0.18) | 68.09% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 11.62% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 1.44% Total : 29.3% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.54% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.9% | 0-1 @ 14.42% 0-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |