League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 16
May 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
Derry1 - 2Dundalk
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Dundalk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derry 2-2 Finn Harps
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Next Game: Derry vs. Drogheda
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 19 | 8 | 28 |
Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 St Patrick's
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Next Game: Dundalk vs. Shamrock
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shamrock Rovers | 19 | 21 | 42 |
2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 46.51%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 26.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derry City | Draw | Dundalk |
46.51% ( 1.32) | 27.01% ( 0.05) | 26.47% ( -1.37) |
Both teams to score 47.23% ( -1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.66% ( -0.92) | 57.33% ( 0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.84% ( -0.73) | 78.16% ( 0.73) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.35% ( 0.23) | 24.64% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.84% ( 0.33) | 59.16% ( -0.33) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.67% ( -1.63) | 37.33% ( 1.63) |