MX23RW : Wednesday, February 12 16:50:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 3
Mar 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
St Patrick's Athletic

Dundalk
5 - 0
St Patrick's

Hoban (5'), Annesley (15'), Tulloch (51'), Kelly (53'), Malley (84')
Tulloch (44'), Kelly (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Curtis (44'), Kreida (55'), Doyle (56'), Forrester (90+1')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Bohemians 2-1 Dundalk
Friday, February 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-0 Shelbourne
Friday, February 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 21.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
DundalkDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
53.07% (0.543 0.54) 25.2% (-0.117 -0.12) 21.73% (-0.429 -0.43)
Both teams to score 47.61% (-0.197 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56% (0.018000000000001 0.02)54.44% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19% (0.013000000000002 0.01)75.81% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (0.229 0.23)20.52% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.99% (0.363 0.36)53.01% (-0.365 -0.37)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.89% (-0.421 -0.42)40.1% (0.419 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.25% (-0.386 -0.39)76.74% (0.38500000000001 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 53.06%
    St Patrick's Athletic 21.73%
    Draw 25.2%
DundalkDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 13.03% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 10.32% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.45% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 53.06%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.52% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 21.73%

How you voted: Dundalk vs St Patrick's

Dundalk
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
St Patrick's Athletic
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk
1-2
St Patrick's
O'Kane (45+1')
Forrester (20'), O'Reilly (90+3')
Grivosti (7')
Jul 15, 2022 7.45pm
St Patrick's
1-1
Dundalk
Doyle (15')
O'Reilly (51'), Atakayi (66'), Forrester (79')
Kelly (77')
Hoban (57'), Sloggett (77'), O'Donnell (80'), O'Donnell (90')
May 27, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk
1-0
St Patrick's
Kelly (24')

(86')
Apr 8, 2022 7.45pm
St Patrick's
0-0
Dundalk

Grivosti (75'), (83'), (90+4')

Sloggett (28'), Kelly (60'), Benson (82'), (90+3'), (90+4')
Oct 25, 2021 7.45pm
St Patrick's
1-0
Dundalk
King (26')
Lewis (54'), Jaros (74')

Patching (62'), Dummigan (89')
rhs 2.0
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