MX23RW : Wednesday, February 12 16:03:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
University College Dublin
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 30
Sep 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Dundalk

UCD
3 - 2
Dundalk

Lonergan (51', 87'), Duffy (79')
Gallagher (39'), Duffy (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ward (39'), Bradley (57')
Doyle (65'), Adams (90+3')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

University College Dublin

Last Six:
Last Game: Derry 3-0 UCD
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Dundalk

Last Six:
Last Game: Dundalk 0-0 Shelbourne
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 62.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
University College DublinDrawDundalk
15.02% (0.232 0.23) 22.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 62.49% (-0.236 -0.24)
Both teams to score 43.89% (0.493 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77% (0.376 0.38)53.22% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21% (0.318 0.32)74.79% (-0.316 -0.32)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.6% (0.561 0.56)47.4% (-0.561 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.21% (0.415 0.41)82.79% (-0.413 -0.41)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (0.051000000000002 0.05)16.55% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.68% (0.091999999999999 0.09)46.32% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    University College Dublin 15.02%
    Dundalk 62.48%
    Draw 22.49%
University College DublinDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 5.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.93% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 2.19% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 0.98% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 15.02%
1-1 @ 10.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.54% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 22.49%
0-1 @ 14.11% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-2 @ 12.69% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 7.61% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.68% (0.035 0.04)
0-4 @ 3.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.56% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.046 0.05)
0-5 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.023 0.02)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 62.48%

Head to Head
Jul 1, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk
3-0
UCD
McMillan (51'), Adams (57'), Ward (90+3')
May 6, 2022 7.45pm
UCD
2-2
Dundalk
Whelan (60', 75' pen.)
Keane (23'), (69'), Whelan (88')
Doyle (18'), Hoban (54' pen.)
(41'), Benson (74')
Leahy (45+1'), Boyle (45+1')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk
2-0
UCD
Kelly (16'), Hoban (48')

(76')
rhs 2.0
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