MX23RW : Wednesday, February 12 18:57:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 26
Aug 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Derry City

Dundalk
1 - 1
Derry

Hoban (90+3')
Sloggett (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Akintunde (12')
Glass (8'), McEleney (45+3'), Maher (65'), Dummigan (68')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

Last Six:
Last Game: Dundalk 3-0 Finn Harps
Friday, July 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

Last Six:
Last Game: Finn Harps 1-2 Derry
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Derry City had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Derry City win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
DundalkDrawDerry City
58.44% (-0.234 -0.23) 23.4% (0.012 0.01) 18.16% (0.222 0.22)
Both teams to score 47.44% (0.345 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.15% (0.256 0.26)51.85% (-0.255 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.39% (0.22 0.22)73.61% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.52% (0.010999999999996 0.01)17.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.04% (0.015999999999998 0.02)47.96% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.48% (0.412 0.41)42.52% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.12% (0.35 0.35)78.88% (-0.349 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 58.44%
    Derry City 18.16%
    Draw 23.4%
DundalkDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 12.96% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 11.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.57% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 58.44%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 23.4%
0-1 @ 6.36% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.74% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.35% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 18.16%

Head to Head
May 20, 2022 7.45pm
Derry
1-2
Dundalk
Akintunde (75')
Smith (27')
Benson (10'), Hoban (81')
(45'), Shepperd (67'), (73'), Leahy (74'), Benson (77')
Feb 18, 2022 7.45pm
Dundalk
2-2
Derry
Bradley (31'), Connolly (72')
Connolly (24'), Bradley (24'), Bone (89')
Thomson (40'), McGonigle (80')
Thomson (24')
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
Dundalk
1-2
Derry
Murray (33')
Murray (21'), Cleary (64')
Harkin (45+1'), McGonigle (52')
Lafferty (63')
Aug 15, 2021 3pm
Derry
1-0
Dundalk
McGonigle (50' pen.)
(67'), (81'), (86')

(28'), Jurkovskis (35')
Jun 25, 2021 7.45pm
Dundalk
2-1
Derry
Kelly (36'), Hoban (56' pen.)
Leahy (51'), McEleney (80')
Toal (60')
Malone (41'), Lafferty (44'), Cole (56'), Thomson (80')
rhs 2.0
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