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League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Burton Albion

Bolton
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Bakayoko (87'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+8')
Afolayan (49'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hughes (73')
Adeboyejo (52')
Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Burton Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 70.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
70.47% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 17.84% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 11.69% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.29% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.02% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)40.98% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.63% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)63.37% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.58% (0.015999999999991 0.02)10.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.01% (0.036000000000001 0.04)33.98% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.02% (-0.107 -0.11)44.98% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.08% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)80.92% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 70.46%
    Burton Albion 11.69%
    Draw 17.84%
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 11.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.03% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.11% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 70.46%
1-1 @ 8.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 17.84%
0-1 @ 3.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.38% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.9% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 11.69%

How you voted: Bolton vs Burton Albion

Bolton Wanderers
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Burton Albion
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Bolton
Powell (11'), Brayford (14', 18')
Mancienne (55')
Charles (90+4')
Williams (68')
Sep 6, 2021 8pm
Bolton
0-0
Burton Albion

Williams (36'), Evatt (90+5'), Johnston (90+5')

Hamer (9'), Akins (19'), Brayford (69'), Shaughnessy (80')
Brayford (86')
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-2
Bolton
Murphy (28', 65')
Sbarra (90')
Delaney (20'), Hamilton (38')
Nsiala (34')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Bolton
3-4
Burton Albion
Dodoo (5'), Murphy (11'), Politic (84')
Murphy (29'), Buckley (75')
Murphy (49')
Templeton (13'), Akins (26', 45'), Boyce (81')
Fraser (70')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Burton Albion
2-0
Bolton
Akpan (28'), Akins (36')
McFadzean (11'), Akins (79')

Pratley (33'), Beevers (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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