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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Lincoln City

Cambridge
0 - 2
Lincoln


N'Lundulu (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Draper (26'), Cadamarteri (68')
Makama (37'), Cadamarteri (71'), Jackson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Wigan
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-2 Lincoln City

It has been a tough start to the season for Cambridge and we do not expect that to change on Saturday when Lincoln visit, but their last three defeats have only been by one goal, so this could be a tougher assignment for Lincoln than it initially appears on paper. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 25.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawLincoln City
25.31% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 26.76% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 47.93% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.99% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83% (0.107 0.11)57.17% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (0.085000000000001 0.09)78.03% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.74% (0.023000000000003 0.02)38.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.98% (0.021000000000001 0.02)75.01% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (0.084999999999994 0.08)23.9% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89% (0.122 0.12)58.11% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 25.31%
    Lincoln City 47.93%
    Draw 26.76%
Cambridge UnitedDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.04% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-0 @ 4.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 25.31%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.14% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 13.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.37% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 9% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 47.93%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Lincoln

Cambridge United
8.7%
Draw
4.3%
Lincoln City
87.0%
23
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Lincoln
6-0
Cambridge
Moylan (3', 25'), Taylor (48', 74'), Eyoma (85'), Duffy (86')
Duffy (90+1'), Taylor (90+7')

Andrew (80'), Brophy (83')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Cambridge
0-3
Lincoln

Ahadme (9'), Cousins (15')
Mandroiu (16' pen.), Duffy (32'), Vale (85')
Vale (77'), Mitchell (88')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Cambridge
2-0
Lincoln
Ironside (24', 27')

O'Connor (86')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Lincoln
0-1
Cambridge
Ironside (90+1')
Brophy (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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