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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Lincoln City |
41.41% ( -0.07) | 25.06% ( -0.04) | 33.54% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 56.98% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.58% ( 0.21) | 46.43% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.29% ( 0.19) | 68.71% ( -0.19) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.65% ( 0.06) | 22.35% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.16% ( 0.08) | 55.85% ( -0.07) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.39% ( 0.17) | 26.61% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.16% ( 0.22) | 61.84% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.41% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 33.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
4 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
10 | Blackpool | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Barnsley | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Stevenage | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
13 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
14 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 14 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
16 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 13 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 7 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 5 |
23 | Burton Albion | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |