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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Barnsley

Lincoln
1 - 2
Barnsley

House (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cosgrove (13'), Roberts (47')
Russell (65'), Cosgrove (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Harrogate
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Barnsley

We anticipate a tight and hard-fought contest on Saturday between two sides with plenty of quality and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for a low-scoring draw at the LNER Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBarnsley
35.99% (-0.641 -0.64) 25.35% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 38.66% (0.56 0.56)
Both teams to score 56.44% (-0.349 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.426 -0.43)47.32% (0.43 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (-0.397 -0.4)69.55% (0.399 0.4)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.55799999999999 -0.56)25.6% (0.563 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.768 -0.77)60.48% (0.771 0.77)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (0.102 0.1)24.14% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (0.145 0.15)58.45% (-0.141 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 35.99%
    Barnsley 38.66%
    Draw 25.34%
Lincoln CityDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 8.42% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.61% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 35.99%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.182 0.18)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 38.66%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Barnsley

Lincoln City
41.7%
Draw
25.0%
Barnsley
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Barnsley
1-5
Lincoln
Phillips (77')
Kane (41'), Cole (52'), O'Keeffe (86')
Taylor (15'), Moylan (55', 72'), Mandroiu (58'), Makama (79')
House (45'), Hackett (70')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Lincoln
2-2
Barnsley
Mandroiu (5' pen.), Eyoma (88')
Vale (90+2')
Cotter (68'), McAtee (72')
McCart (90+6')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Barnsley
0-1
Lincoln
Mandroiu (45+4')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Barnsley
0-3
Lincoln

Moon (10'), Hondermarck (73')
Norwood (22')
Bishop (15', 17'), Makama (90+3')
Sorensen (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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