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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Crawley Town

Cambridge
0 - 1
Crawley


Andrew (9'), Kaikai (49'), Lavery (53'), Gibbons (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adeyemo (86')
Williams (14'), Anderson (45+1'), Mullarkey (50'), Quitirna (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 QPR
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crawley 4-2 Swindon
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Crawley Town

Still licking their wounds from their cup exit, Cambridge United will head into the weekend looking to pick up a morale-boosting result and put their first league win on the board. While the Red Devils have enjoyed a solid start to the season, they have lost each of their last five visits to Abbey Stadium and we see them struggling once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.25%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawCrawley Town
20.61% (-1.101 -1.1) 23.73% (-0.254 -0.25) 55.65% (1.349 1.35)
Both teams to score 50.39% (-0.772 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (-0.246 -0.25)49.96% (0.24 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-0.221 -0.22)71.95% (0.21600000000001 0.22)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.3% (-1.254 -1.25)38.69% (1.248 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.57% (-1.209 -1.21)75.43% (1.203 1.2)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.19% (0.407 0.41)17.8% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.47% (0.705 0.7)48.52% (-0.70999999999999 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 20.61%
    Crawley Town 55.63%
    Draw 23.73%
Cambridge UnitedDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 6.54% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 5.36% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-0 @ 3.11% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 0.98% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 20.61%
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 11.88% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 10.25% (0.36 0.36)
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.9% (0.288 0.29)
1-3 @ 5.6% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.157 0.16)
1-4 @ 2.42% (0.07 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 55.63%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Crawley

Cambridge United
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Crawley Town
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Cambridge
3-1
Crawley
Ironside (11'), Knoyle (45+2'), Hoolahan (85')
Hoolahan (33'), May (76'), Tracey (83')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 10
Crawley
2-1
Cambridge
Watters (44'), Nichols (57')
Nichols (71')
Hesketh (87')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 17
Cambridge
2-1
Crawley
Smith (83'), Lewis (86')
Smith (70'), O'Neil (75')
Lubala (80')
Ferguson (12'), Dallison (90')
Dec 26, 2018 1pm
Gameweek 24
Cambridge
2-1
Crawley
Maris (27'), Ibehre (88')
Maris (32'), Deegan (38')
Poleon (16')
Bulman (80'), McNerney (86')
rhs 2.0
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