Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.