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League One
Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Morecambe
1 - 3
Plymouth

Weir (3')
Rawson (30'), Austerfield (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mayor (63'), Waine (86'), Matete (90+3')
Edwards (59'), Matete (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Morecambe and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Barnsley 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Morecambe 1-3 Plymouth Argyle

 We can see Plymouth Argyle producing a big response after last weekend's Wembley humiliation, with the visitors expected to enhance their promotion prospects while piling more pressure on lowly Morecambe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.

Result
MorecambeDrawPlymouth Argyle
23.02% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 23.05% (0.0010000000000012 0) 53.93% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.86% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (0.024000000000001 0.02)44.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (0.024000000000001 0.02)66.69% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.79% (0.032000000000011 0.03)33.21% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.18% (0.035 0.04)69.82% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)16.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.01% (0.0019999999999953 0)45.99%
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 23.02%
    Plymouth Argyle 53.93%
    Draw 23.05%
MorecambeDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 5.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.98% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 3.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 23.02%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 5.44% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.9% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.92%
0-3 @ 5.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 2.68%
0-4 @ 2.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.93%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Plymouth

Morecambe
11.5%
Draw
7.7%
Plymouth Argyle
80.8%
26
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
2-1
Morecambe
Ennis (69'), Cosgrove (84')
O'Connor (90+1')
Shaw (30')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Morecambe
Grant (14'), Hardie (43')

Connolly (34'), Stockton (59')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
1-1
Plymouth
Ayunga (6')
Jones (65')
Mayor (12')
Houghton (79'), Galloway (84')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Morecambe
P-P
Plymouth
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Morecambe
Cooper (44'), Sarcevic (45' pen.), Grant (91')
Grant (19')

Brewitt (9')
Sutton (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
> League One Full Table


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