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League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Fratton Park
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Portsmouth
0 - 0
Derby


Robertson (12'), Bishop (71')
FT

Sibley (38'), Cashin (63'), Thompson (73'), Dobbin (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 5-0 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Portsmouth 2-2 Derby County

 Portsmouth have drawn their last four home league games, and we think that they may have to settle for another point when they face a Derby side who have only lost one of their previous five away matches in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawDerby County
44.05% (-0.768 -0.77) 26.73% (0.178 0.18) 29.22% (0.591 0.59)
Both teams to score 49.79% (-0.19 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.1% (-0.407 -0.41)54.9% (0.409 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.81% (-0.337 -0.34)76.19% (0.33800000000001 0.34)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (-0.557 -0.56)24.77% (0.559 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67% (-0.784 -0.78)59.33% (0.786 0.79)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (0.23700000000001 0.24)33.81% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.255 0.26)70.48% (-0.253 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 44.04%
    Derby County 29.22%
    Draw 26.73%
PortsmouthDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.38% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.201 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.139 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 29.22%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Derby

Portsmouth
33.6%
Draw
27.5%
Derby County
38.9%
131
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2015 7.45pm
Portsmouth
2-1
Derby
> Match Report
Apr 21, 2012 3pm
Portsmouth
1-2
Derby
Varney (74')
Kitson (42'), Varney (55'), Pearce (65')
Buxton (41'), Davies (78' pen.)
Davies (65')
> Match Report
Oct 29, 2011 3pm
Derby
3-1
Portsmouth
Ward (33'), Bryson (3'), Maguire (14')
Shackell (9')
Pearce (79')
Varney (86')
Feb 5, 2011 3pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Derby
Nugent (90')
Hogg (52'), De Laet (85')
Davies (34')
Davies (75'), Cywka (78')
Nov 6, 2010 3pm
Derby
2-0
Portsmouth
Savage (23' pen.), Green (58')
Leacock (45')

Mokoena (7'), Mullins (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120
> League One Full Table


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