MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 16:31:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Swindon Town

Carlisle
1 - 1
Swindon

Dennis (45')
Moxon (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wakeling (22')
Reed (18'), MacDonald (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawSwindon Town
22.32% (0.080000000000002 0.08) 25.47% (-0.299 -0.3) 52.21% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 47.56% (0.92 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (1.162 1.16)54.88% (-1.16 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83% (0.953 0.95)76.17% (-0.94999999999999 -0.95)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (0.74 0.74)39.76% (-0.738 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (0.675 0.68)76.43% (-0.67399999999999 -0.67)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (0.566 0.57)21.04% (-0.565 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16% (0.874 0.87)53.84% (-0.872 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 22.32%
    Swindon Town 52.21%
    Draw 25.47%
Carlisle UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 7.72% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-1 @ 5.55% (0.069 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.71% (0.055 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.33% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.09% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 22.32%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.384 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 13.04% (-0.36 -0.36)
0-2 @ 10.16% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.28% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.87% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.102 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.06% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.9% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.21%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
0-3
Swindon

Simeu (36')
McKirdy (17'), Davison (55'), Barry (57')
Davison (36'), Cooper (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Crichlow (30')
Kesler (28'), Reed (90+3')
Kesler (90+7')
Riley (13'), Abrahams (43')
Dickenson (29'), Norman (63')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Swindon
3-2
Carlisle
Yates (56'), Fryers (70'), Woolery (90')
Doughty (34'), Lyden (57')
Olomola (52'), Sagaf (92')
Knight-Percival (57')
Carroll (83')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Swindon
Hope (13'), O'Hare (79')
Liddle (38')
Bennett (39')
Carroll (60'), Anderson (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Notts County27138643271647
3Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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