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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Mansfield Town

Colchester
0 - 2
Mansfield


Marshall-Miranda (35'), Dallison (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harbottle (45+2'), Gale (90+7')
Perch (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-3 Mansfield Town

Colchester are only playing for league position, while Mansfield are targeting a place in the League Two playoffs, and we think that the extra motivation could propel the Stags to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawMansfield Town
33.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 28.02% (0.00099999999999767 0) 38.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.54% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)79.06% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)69.11% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)65.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 33.54%
    Mansfield Town 38.43%
    Draw 28.01%
Colchester UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 33.54%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 7.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.43%

How you voted: Colchester vs Mansfield

Colchester United
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Mansfield Town
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Swan (34'), Akins (90+2')
Hawkins (29')
Newby (10')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 31
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Oates (19'), Bowery (90+2' pen.)
O'Toole (18'), Akins (83'), Hewitt (90+6')
Judge (90+7')
Sarpong-Wiredu (23'), Kennedy (69')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Colchester
1-1
Mansfield
Sears (90+5' pen.)
Skuse (58')
Hewitt (72')
Quinn (68'), Perch (90+4')
Feb 14, 2021 3pm
gameweek 29
Colchester
2-2
Mansfield
Harriott (39'), Nouble (89')
Pell (67')
Smith (4' og.), Perch (81')
Nov 20, 2020 7pm
gameweek 13
Mansfield
1-1
Colchester
Maynard (67')
Clarke (63'), Rawson (88')
Norris (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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