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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Mansfield Town

Colchester
0 - 2
Mansfield


Marshall-Miranda (35'), Dallison (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harbottle (45+2'), Gale (90+7')
Perch (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-3 Mansfield Town

Colchester are only playing for league position, while Mansfield are targeting a place in the League Two playoffs, and we think that the extra motivation could propel the Stags to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawMansfield Town
33.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 28.02% (0.00099999999999767 0) 38.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.54% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.53% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)79.06% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)69.11% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)65.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 33.54%
    Mansfield Town 38.43%
    Draw 28.01%
Colchester UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 33.54%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 7.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.43%

How you voted: Colchester vs Mansfield

Colchester United
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Mansfield Town
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Swan (34'), Akins (90+2')
Hawkins (29')
Newby (10')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 31
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Oates (19'), Bowery (90+2' pen.)
O'Toole (18'), Akins (83'), Hewitt (90+6')
Judge (90+7')
Sarpong-Wiredu (23'), Kennedy (69')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Colchester
1-1
Mansfield
Sears (90+5' pen.)
Skuse (58')
Hewitt (72')
Quinn (68'), Perch (90+4')
Feb 14, 2021 3pm
gameweek 29
Colchester
2-2
Mansfield
Harriott (39'), Nouble (89')
Pell (67')
Smith (4' og.), Perch (81')
Nov 20, 2020 7pm
gameweek 13
Mansfield
1-1
Colchester
Maynard (67')
Clarke (63'), Rawson (88')
Norris (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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