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Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Park
Mansfield Town

Hartlepool
1 - 2
Mansfield

Hamilton (19')
Cooke (75'), Featherstone (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oates (47'), Hawkins (60')
Clarke (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hartlepool United 1-2 Mansfield Town

With Hartlepool United sitting precariously above the League Two relegation zone, despite looking like an improved side in recent weeks, promotion-aspiring Mansfield Town should prevail from the match at the Suit Direct Stadium with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawMansfield Town
19.8% (0.253 0.25) 23.41% (0.178 0.18) 56.79% (-0.43 -0.43)
Both teams to score 50.15% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (-0.388 -0.39)49.66% (0.388 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (-0.347 -0.35)71.68% (0.348 0.35)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.62% (0.050999999999995 0.05)39.38% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.92% (0.047000000000001 0.05)76.08% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)17.27% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (-0.516 -0.52)47.61% (0.51499999999999 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 19.8%
    Mansfield Town 56.78%
    Draw 23.41%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.108 0.11)
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.95% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.61% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 0.92% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.8%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 11.94% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 10.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.14% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.72% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.7% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.51% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 56.78%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Mansfield

Hartlepool United
28.6%
Draw
23.8%
Mansfield Town
47.6%
21
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
Hartlepool
2-2
Mansfield
Grey (41'), Molyneux (43')
Lapslie (21'), Perch (25')
Lapslie (57'), Perch (73'), Hawkins (90+3')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
3-2
Hartlepool
O'Toole (55'), Bowery (62'), Maris (66')
Law (90+1')
Molyneux (25'), Featherstone (51')
Killip (38'), Byrne (40')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Mansfield
4-0
Hartlepool
Whiteman (19', 76'), Rose (26'), MacDonald (71')
Rose (43')
Sep 17, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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