Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 83.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 4.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.27%) and 1-0 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.47%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Casa Pia |
83.66% (![]() | 11.63% (![]() | 4.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 37.31% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.7% (![]() | 37.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.48% (![]() | 59.51% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.43% (![]() | 6.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.55% (![]() | 24.44% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
39.93% (![]() | 60.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
9.31% (![]() | 90.68% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Casa Pia |
2-0 @ 14.62% (![]() 3-0 @ 13.27% 1-0 @ 10.73% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 9.04% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.45% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.45% Total : 83.64% | 1-1 @ 5.47% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 1.9% ( ![]() Other @ 0.32% Total : 11.63% | 0-1 @ 2.01% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 1.29% Total : 4.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |