Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Porto |
19.48% (![]() | 23.31% (![]() | 57.21% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.93% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.31% (![]() | 49.69% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.3% (![]() | 71.7% (![]() |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.25% (![]() | 39.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.58% (![]() | 76.42% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.86% (![]() | 17.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.64% (![]() | 47.36% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 6.28% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.48% | 1-1 @ 11.08% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.51% ( ![]() Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 12.01% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.59% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.78% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |