Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.