Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 1-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (12.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.