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Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 29, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
AC Ajaccio

Lille
3 - 0
Ajaccio

Gomes (22', 33'), Cabella (37')
David (29')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Soumano (28'), Spadanuda (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Lille
Saturday, April 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Brest
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 3-0 Ajaccio

 Ajaccio may have held their own with 10 men against a shot-shy Brest, but a Lille side out to right the wrongs of last weekend should encounter few roadblocks en route to a dominant win. With Golden Boot chaser David spearheading Lille's prolific period of home form, we can only picture Fonseca's men remaining in control of their continental destiny, with a few goals along the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 79.41%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 6.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.98%) and 1-0 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
LilleDrawAjaccio
79.41% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 14.03% (0.035 0.04) 6.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Both teams to score 40.45% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.65% (-0.169 -0.17)40.35% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.27% (-0.174 -0.17)62.73% (0.17299999999999 0.17)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.86% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)8.14% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.45% (-0.117 -0.12)28.55% (0.115 0.12)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.04% (-0.11600000000001 -0.12)55.96% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.55% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)88.45% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Lille 79.41%
    Ajaccio 6.56%
    Draw 14.03%
LilleDrawAjaccio
2-0 @ 14.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.42% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
4-0 @ 7.52% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.19% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.58% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 79.41%
1-1 @ 6.63% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.42% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 14.03%
0-1 @ 2.64% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 6.56%

How you voted: Lille vs Ajaccio

Lille
92.6%
Draw
0.0%
Ajaccio
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 8pm
gameweek 4
Ajaccio
1-3
Lille
Bayala (84')
Mangani (71'), Gonzalez (73'), Bayala (86')
Yazici (17'), Bamba (43'), Djalo (67')
Diakite (51'), Zhegrova (57')
Mar 2, 2014 1pm
Ajaccio
2-3
Lille
Tallo (1', 42')
Cavalli (24'), Tallo (72'), Hengbart (74')
Kalou (25' pen., 38', 74')
Gana Gueye (45'), Origi (67')
Soumaoro (81')
Oct 5, 2013 7pm
Lille
3-0
Ajaccio
Souare (17'), Gana Gueye (58'), Kalou (71')
Gana Gueye (74')

Demba Camara (49')
> Match Report
Feb 23, 2013 7pm
Ajaccio
1-3
Lille
Belghazouani (76')
Poulard (38' og.), Payet (67', 74')
Balmont (39')
Digne (61')
> Match Report
Oct 6, 2012 7pm
Lille
2-0
Ajaccio
Mendes (56'), Roux (42')
De Melo (59'), Balmont (66')

Mutu (3')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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