Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.