MX23RW : Monday, December 23 01:40:54| >> :120:4816:4816:
Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Play-In Round
Oct 24, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
Portland Timbers

Vancouver
5 - 0
Portland

Gauld (20', 31', 59'), White (24'), Armstrong (52')
Takaoka (54'), Raposo (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Chara (23'), Evander (70'), Miller (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-1 Vancouver
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Portland
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 1-3 Portland Timbers

The Timbers are by no means a stable defensive unit, but with so much firepower and creativity in the attacking third, we believe they will overwhelm a helpless Caps team that have failed to have any answers to their poor form for weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawPortland Timbers
47.88% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 23.53% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 28.58% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 59.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)41.64% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)17.6% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.82% (0.028000000000006 0.03)48.17% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)27.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)62.93% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 47.88%
    Portland Timbers 28.58%
    Draw 23.53%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 47.88%
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.58%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Portland

Vancouver Whitecaps
21.4%
Draw
25.0%
Portland Timbers
53.6%
28
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 3.30am
Jun 23, 2024 3.30am
Portland
2-0
Vancouver
Rodriguez (26'), Mora (43')
Ayala (55')

Schopf (34'), Blackmon (39'), Berhalter (60'), Martins (90+1')
Schopf (52')
Mar 31, 2024 3.30am
Vancouver
3-2
Portland
Gauld (2'), Picault (29'), Raposo (87')
Cubas (51'), Adekugbe (90')
Evander (52'), Mora (77')
Aug 27, 2023 3.30am
Portland
2-3
Vancouver
Mora (53'), Evander (85')
Evander (34'), Zuparic (51'), Asprilla (63'), Boli (90+4')
Gauld (13', 60'), White (36')
Cubas (65'), Laryea (90+5'), Takaoka (90+8')
May 14, 2023 3.30am
Portland
3-1
Vancouver
Boli (2'), Evander (18', 54')
McGraw (24' og.)
rhs 2.0
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15Everton163761421-716
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20Southampton1713131136-256


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