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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Oct 19, 2024 at 11pm UK
Soldier Field
Nashville

Chicago Fire
0 - 3
Nashville


Navarro (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muyl (54'), Surridge (87'), Shaffelburg (90+1')
Gaines (60'), Shaffelburg (62'), Godoy (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 4-3 Chicago Fire
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, October 6 at 9.25pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 2-1 Nashville SC

While Nashville only need a draw to guarantee they will not end bottom of the Eastern Conference this season, Chicago have avoided defeat in their last two home games, including a 2-1 win over the Red Bulls, and we feel the hosts may just be able to manage one more big performance before the rebuild for next term begins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNashville SC
49.09% (-1.062 -1.06) 24.63% (0.147 0.15) 26.28% (0.92 0.92)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.383 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84% (0.102 0.1)48.16% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (0.094000000000001 0.09)70.32% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35% (-0.39 -0.39)19.66% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37% (-0.643 -0.64)51.63% (0.645 0.65)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (0.80200000000001 0.8)32.54% (-0.79900000000001 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (0.892 0.89)69.08% (-0.889 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 49.09%
    Nashville SC 26.28%
    Draw 24.63%
Chicago FireDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 49.09%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.18% (0.126 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.176 0.18)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.157 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 2% (0.072 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 26.28%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Nashville

Chicago Fire
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Nashville SC
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
Nashville
1-0
Chicago Fire
Surridge (19')
Godoy (21'), Lovitz (26'), Ajago (85'), Yazbek (85'), Willis (90+1')

Omsberg (64')
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
May 7, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
3-0
Chicago Fire
Williams (45+3' pen., 70' pen., 90+1')
Sep 26, 2021 6pm
Jul 18, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 16
Nashville
5-1
Chicago Fire
Pineda (27'), Navarro (49')
Kappelhof (14')
rhs 2.0
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