We said: Chicago Fire 2-1 Nashville SC
While Nashville only need a draw to guarantee they will not end bottom of the Eastern Conference this season, Chicago have avoided defeat in their last two home games, including a 2-1 win over the Red Bulls, and we feel the hosts may just be able to manage one more big performance before the rebuild for next term begins.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.