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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Oct 19, 2024 at 11pm UK
Soldier Field
Nashville

Chicago Fire
0 - 3
Nashville


Navarro (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Muyl (54'), Surridge (87'), Shaffelburg (90+1')
Gaines (60'), Shaffelburg (62'), Godoy (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 4-3 Chicago Fire
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, October 6 at 9.25pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 2-1 Nashville SC

While Nashville only need a draw to guarantee they will not end bottom of the Eastern Conference this season, Chicago have avoided defeat in their last two home games, including a 2-1 win over the Red Bulls, and we feel the hosts may just be able to manage one more big performance before the rebuild for next term begins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNashville SC
49.09% (-1.062 -1.06) 24.63% (0.147 0.15) 26.28% (0.92 0.92)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.383 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84% (0.102 0.1)48.16% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (0.094000000000001 0.09)70.32% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35% (-0.39 -0.39)19.66% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37% (-0.643 -0.64)51.63% (0.645 0.65)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (0.80200000000001 0.8)32.54% (-0.79900000000001 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (0.892 0.89)69.08% (-0.889 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 49.09%
    Nashville SC 26.28%
    Draw 24.63%
Chicago FireDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 49.09%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.18% (0.126 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.176 0.18)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.157 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 2% (0.072 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 26.28%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Nashville

Chicago Fire
Draw
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Nashville SC
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
Nashville
1-0
Chicago Fire
Surridge (19')
Godoy (21'), Lovitz (26'), Ajago (85'), Yazbek (85'), Willis (90+1')

Omsberg (64')
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
May 7, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
3-0
Chicago Fire
Williams (45+3' pen., 70' pen., 90+1')
Sep 26, 2021 6pm
Jul 18, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 16
Nashville
5-1
Chicago Fire
Pineda (27'), Navarro (49')
Kappelhof (14')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew7430105515
2Inter MiamiInter Miami6420126614
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7412138513
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC7412127513
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati741299013
6Orlando City73221512311
7Chicago Fire73221412211
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls732297211
9Nashville SCNashville7313107310
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta72321112-19
11New York City FCNY City72231011-18
12DC United7133917-86
13New England RevolutionNew England611437-44
14Toronto7034713-63
15CF MontrealMontreal7025412-82

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7511125716
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7421117414
3Austin FCAustin741253213
4Portland TimbersPortland732298111
5Dallas73221010011
6Colorado RapidsColorado732289-111
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes73131510510
8Los Angeles FCLos Angeles7304810-29
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake7304711-49
10St Louis City72234408
11Seattle SoundersSeattle7133811-36
12Houston DynamoHouston7124511-65
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas7115812-44
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy7025514-92
15San Diego FC00000000


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