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New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Nashville

New England
1 - 0
Nashville

Bye (86')
Polster (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Moore (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 4-0 New England
Saturday, September 21 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-1 Nashville SC

Despite all of New England Revolution's struggles, they have been hard to beat in front of their fans. We are backing a share of the spoils in this one, with both teams settling for a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.19%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New England Revolution in this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawNashville SC
48.19% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 24.34% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 27.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.17% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)46.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.66% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)68.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81% (0.010999999999996 0.01)19.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)50.87% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)30.5% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)66.72% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 48.19%
    Nashville SC 27.48%
    Draw 24.33%
New England RevolutionDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 9.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 48.19%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 27.48%

How you voted: New England vs Nashville

New England Revolution
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Nashville SC
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2024 12.30am
Group Stage
New England
1-1
Nashville
(Aggregate 1-1 | New England win 5-4 on penalties)
Wood (3')
Miller (15'), Harkes (45+3'), Fry (90+4')
Surridge (45+2')
Surridge (39')
Jun 2, 2024 1.30am
Nashville
1-2
New England
Williams (80' pen.)
Yearwood (90+8')
Gil (18'), Bajraktarevic (51')
Arreaga (53'), Polster (73'), Ivacic (88')
Oct 15, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
3-2
New England
McCarty (19'), Surridge (30', 45+3')
Williams (42'), McCarty (59')
Chancalay (49', 71')
Polster (90')
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
Aug 5, 2021 12am
rhs 2.0
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