Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.