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Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Chicago Fire

Montreal
2 - 0
Chicago Fire

Martinez (21'), Clark (74')
Campbell (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 2-2 Montreal
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-0 Chicago Fire
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 2-1 Chicago Fire

While neither side have been all that convincing in recent outings, Montreal have shown a little more fighting spirit this month, while the Fire have not shown us much in recent outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawChicago Fire
45.36% (0.98 0.98) 23.98% (0.332 0.33) 30.66% (-1.304 -1.3)
Both teams to score 59.55% (-1.857 -1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.46% (-2.155 -2.15)42.54% (2.163 2.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.06% (-2.187 -2.19)64.94% (2.192 2.19)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (-0.459 -0.46)18.96% (0.465 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.51% (-0.77200000000001 -0.77)50.49% (0.779 0.78)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (-1.861 -1.86)26.51% (1.867 1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (-2.542 -2.54)61.71% (2.548 2.55)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 45.36%
    Chicago Fire 30.66%
    Draw 23.97%
CF MontrealDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.135 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.36% (0.666 0.67)
2-0 @ 6.95% (0.458 0.46)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.2 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 45.36%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.32 0.32)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.468 0.47)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.97%
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-1 @ 6.67% (0.289 0.29)
0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.262 -0.26)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.66%

How you voted: Montreal vs Chicago Fire

CF Montreal
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 6pm
Chicago Fire
4-3
Montreal
Haile-Selassie (45+8'), Gutierrez (84' pen.), Cuypers (90+5'), Acosta (90+9')
Salquist (11'), Gasper (45+4'), Herbers (78')
Coccaro (7' pen., 12'), Yankov (70')
Coccaro (16'), Choiniere (90+11')
Edwards (82')
Sep 17, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
0-0
Chicago Fire
Choiniere (13'), Quioto (86'), Corbo (90+3')
Pineda (20'), Doumbia (76'), Herbers (80')
Jul 13, 2023 2.44am
Sep 14, 2022 12.30am
Aug 28, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
0-2
Montreal
Teran (22'), Torres (57')
Kone (34'), Wanyama (45+6'), Mihailovic (59'), Breza (62')
Kone (45+3')
rhs 2.0
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