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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
New York Red Bulls

Chicago Fire
2 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Barlow (31'), Koutsias (75')
Mueller (16'), Lassiter (57'), Haile-Selassie (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gjengaar (47')
Vanzeir (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 DC United
Sunday, September 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Kansas
Sunday, September 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-3 New York Red Bulls

Chicago Fire and New York Red Bulls have struggled to grind out results in recent weeks and will head into the weekend in search of a morale-boosting as they head into the season run-in. We predict the Red Bulls will take the positives from their result against Sporting Kansas City and secure their first away win since mid May. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chicago Fire in this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNew York Red Bulls
38.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.08% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 36.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.44% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.95% (0.017000000000003 0.02)46.05% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.64% (0.014999999999997 0.01)68.35% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)23.62% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)57.71%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)24.79% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64% (0.021000000000001 0.02)59.36% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 38.54%
    New York Red Bulls 36.38%
    Draw 25.07%
Chicago FireDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.06%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.54%
1-1 @ 11.78%
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.07%
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 36.38%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs NY Red Bulls

Chicago Fire
11.1%
Draw
11.1%
New York Red Bulls
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 12.30am
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
0-1
Chicago Fire

Ndam (49'), Tolkin (90+3')
Ndam (62')
Koutsias (64')
Doumbia (17'), Koutsias (59'), Brady (82'), Dean (90+5')
May 19, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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