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Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Park
Philadelphia Union

Chicago Fire
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Haile-Selassie (19'), Harriel (47' og.)
Herbers (66'), Gimenez (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gazdag (62' pen.), Carranza (64')
Curtin (0'), Gazdag (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-1 Philadelphia Union

 Philadelphia have enjoyed the better of this fixture of late, but Chicago's home record suggests that Sunday's contest is far from a foregone conclusion. We are backing the teams to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.28% (1.758 1.76) 27.07% (-0.286 -0.29) 29.65% (-1.466 -1.47)
Both teams to score 49.02% (0.205 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44% (0.565 0.56)56% (-0.561 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.91% (0.459 0.46)77.09% (-0.453 -0.45)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (1.182 1.18)25.65% (-1.178 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (1.58 1.58)60.56% (-1.576 -1.58)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (-0.783 -0.78)34.07% (0.786 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.852 -0.85)70.76% (0.85599999999999 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 43.28%
    Philadelphia Union 29.65%
    Draw 27.07%
Chicago FireDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.89% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.207 0.21)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.36 0.36)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.222 0.22)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.279 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.075 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.117 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 43.28%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.74% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 9.41% (-0.414 -0.41)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.337 -0.34)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 29.65%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia

Chicago Fire
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Philadelphia Union
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-0
Chicago Fire
Torres (90')
Andres Martinez (45+2'), Elliott (60'), Bedoya (74'), Torres (90+3'), Sullivan (90+6')

Teran (12'), Kamara (38'), Navarro (42'), Herbers (45+2')
Herbers (50'), Kamara (90+3')
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
4-1
Chicago Fire
Gazdag (16'), Elliott (37'), Carranza (53'), Burke (82')
Bedoya (28'), Burke (85'), Carranza (86'), Mbaizo (90+1')
Mueller (49')
Pineda (3'), Shaqiri (70'), Navarro (82')
Jun 30, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-0
Philadelphia
Navarro (68')
Teran (51')

Andres Martinez (29'), Bedoya (35'), Wagner (77'), Gazdag (83')
Andres Martinez (72')
Aug 1, 2021 11pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Chicago Fire
Wagner (36')
Glesnes (30'), Elliott (66')
Frankowski (10')
Herbers (41'), Beric (78')
Omsberg (34')
Jun 27, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
3-3
Philadelphia
Glesnes (2' og.), Sekulic (56'), Pineda (67')
Stojanovic (44'), Navarro (62'), Herbers (81')
Sullivan (28'), Burke (45+2'), Sekulic (79' og.)
Elliott (10'), Santos (34'), Wagner (52'), Powell (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami5410115613
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia6402138512
3Columbus Crew633084412
4Chicago Fire63211310311
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC6312106410
6Nashville SCNashville631295410
7Orlando City63121512310
8FC CincinnatiCincinnati631289-110
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls62227618
10New York City FCNY City62229908
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta62221011-18
12DC United6132811-36
13New England RevolutionNew England511336-34
14Toronto6024612-62
15CF MontrealMontreal6024310-72

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver6411105513
2Austin FCAustin640253212
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd632196311
4Colorado RapidsColorado632187111
5Portland TimbersPortland631298110
6Dallas631299010
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles630389-19
8St Louis City62224228
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes62139907
10Seattle SoundersSeattle61328806
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake6204511-66
12Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy6024512-72
13Houston DynamoHouston6024411-72
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas6015612-61
15San Diego FC00000000
> Full Version


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