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Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Park
Minnesota United

Chicago Fire
2 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Kamara (24', 36')
Omsberg (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Arriaga (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 DC United
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 0-1 Minnesota United

 Chicago have endured a steady start to this new MLS campaign but are yet to win at Soldier Field, drawing all three of their matches in front of their home faithful. Minnesota seem to have the ingredients of a top MLS side this year, and we believe they will extend their unbeaten run to six games with a victory in Illinois on Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 24.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawMinnesota United
50.07% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 25.07% (0.038 0.04) 24.85% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.47% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.89% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)51.11% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.04% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)72.96% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)20.42% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (-0.121 -0.12)52.87% (0.128 0.13)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)35.32% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)72.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 50.07%
    Minnesota United 24.85%
    Draw 25.07%
Chicago FireDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 11.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 50.07%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.21% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.21% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 24.85%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 10pm
Minnesota Utd
3-0
Chicago Fire
Reynoso (72'), Arriaga (84'), Lod (88')
Trapp (36')

Navarro (35'), Gimenez (41'), Navarro (52')
Navarro (77')
Nov 5, 2020 1am
Minnesota Utd
2-2
Chicago Fire
Aja (64'), Lod (80')
Dibassy (41'), Aja (90+5')
Beric (17'), Pineda (52')
Calvo (23'), Aliseda (78')
Aug 23, 2020 1am
Minnesota Utd
P-P
Chicago Fire
May 12, 2019 1am
Chicago Fire
2-0
Minnesota Utd
Gaitan (21'), Katai (34')
Schweinsteiger (77')

Metanire (42'), Rodriguez (78'), Danladi (92'), Quintero (93')
Mar 17, 2018 6pm
Minnesota Utd
2-1
Chicago Fire
Ibson (55'), Nicholson (66')
Toye (92')
Collier (59')
Ellis (61'), Tchani (67')
rhs 2.0
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6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
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