Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.