Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Chicago Fire |
58.46% ( -1.2) | 22.84% ( 0.25) | 18.69% ( 0.94) |
Both teams to score 50.04% ( 0.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.14% ( 0.37) | 48.86% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.04% ( 0.33) | 70.95% ( -0.34) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.59% ( -0.28) | 16.4% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.94% ( -0.51) | 46.05% ( 0.5) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.86% ( 1.31) | 40.14% ( -1.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.22% ( 1.18) | 76.78% ( -1.18) |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.03% Total : 58.45% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.11% Total : 18.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 71 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 60 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 52 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 50 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 48 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 47 |
8 | DC United | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 40 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 40 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 35 | 64 | -29 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 48 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 63 | 47 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 56 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 51 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 50 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 49 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 47 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 64 | 55 | 9 | 46 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 39 |
11 | Dallas | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 38 |
12 | St Louis City | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 33 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 21 |