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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Aug 29, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Florida Citrus Bowl
New York City

Orlando City
2 - 1
NY City

Urso (7'), Akindele (90+6')
Carlos (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moralez (53')
Haak (45+1'), Moralez (89'), Chanot (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Orlando City 1-1 New York City FC

Four of the last five matches between these sides have ended in a draw, and with the Pigeons missing one of their top chance creators (Rodriguez) and Orlando also missing one of their best (Pato), this might not be a fast-paced game with a lot of opportunities for either side, especially given the Florida heat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
34.61% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 25.67% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 39.72% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.15% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.09% (-0.256 -0.26)48.91% (0.25599999999999 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29% (-0.234 -0.23)71% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.84% (-0.129 -0.13)27.16% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.44% (-0.165 -0.16)62.56% (0.165 0.16)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (-0.142 -0.14)24.29% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.33% (-0.202 -0.2)58.67% (0.202 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 34.61%
    New York City FC 39.72%
    Draw 25.66%
Orlando CityDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.61% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.61%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 39.72%

How you voted: Orlando City vs NY City

Orlando City
34.6%
Draw
23.1%
New York City FC
42.3%
26
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
NY City
5-0
Orlando City
Medina (40'), Tajouri (53'), Moralez (66'), Meineche (79'), Castellanos (82')
Acevedo (74')

Carlos (41'), Schlegel (86')
May 8, 2021 11pm
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Orlando City win 4-3 on penalties
Nani (5' pen.)
Carlos (71'), Ruan (77'), Jansson (90+4'), Perea (90+6'), Gallese (103')
Ruan (87')
Chanot (8')
Castellanos (70'), Mackay-Steven (88'), Ibeagha (120+2')
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
Orlando City
1-1
NY City
Mueller (18')
Carlos (3'), Jansson (37'), Miller (53')
Parks (43')
Ring (5'), Tinnerholm (45+5'), Parks (82')
Sep 20, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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