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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Aug 4, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
Inter Miami

Earthquakes
0 - 1
Inter Miami

FT(HT: 0-1)
Mota (12')
Yedlin (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Inter Miami

They each have some outstanding individual talent, although neither have shown the discipline nor organisation to finish off a match when leading, which is why we project a draw for this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 16.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawInter Miami
61.16% (-0.397 -0.4) 21.9% (0.202 0.2) 16.94% (0.192 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.67% (-0.233 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (-0.524 -0.52)47.66% (0.52099999999999 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-0.484 -0.48)69.86% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.91% (-0.30199999999999 -0.3)15.09% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.36% (-0.57 -0.57)43.64% (0.567 0.57)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.49% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)41.51% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22% (-0.061 -0.06)78% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 61.15%
    Inter Miami 16.94%
    Draw 21.89%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 11.84% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.06% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.34% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 61.15%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.89%
0-1 @ 5.51% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.58% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.42% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 16.94%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Inter Miami

San Jose Earthquakes
40.0%
Draw
32.0%
Inter Miami
28.0%
25
Head to Head
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