Major League Soccer
Mar 11, 2023 at 10pm UK
BC Place Stadium
We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 Dallas
Although the Caps are pointless this season, they have played a lot sharper than their record suggests, and they showed a killer instinct in their midweek encounter, something which should give them a ton of confidence heading into this match.
Dallas reacted well last week, but they have put themselves in bad positions often in the early portion of the campaign, and we expect to see a Caps unit hungry to win their first of the MLS season this weekend.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 50.39% . A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 24.26% .
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 12% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.39%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%) , while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (7.69%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood .
Result Vancouver Whitecaps Draw Dallas 50.39% ( -0.14) 25.34% ( 0.02) 24.26% ( 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.08% ( 0.06)
47.35% ( 0.02) 52.65% ( -0.02)
25.7% ( 0.02) 74.29% ( -0.02)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
79.09% ( -0.05) 20.91% ( 0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.37% ( -0.08) 53.63% ( 0.08)
63.31% ( 0.12) 36.68% ( -0.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.53% ( 0.12) 73.47% ( -0.12)
Vancouver Whitecaps 50.39%
Dallas 24.26%
Draw 25.33%
Vancouver Whitecaps Draw Dallas 1-0 @ 12% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 50.39% 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.33% 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 24.26%
How you voted: Vancouver vs Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps
Draw
Dallas
11
rhs 2.0
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