Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.