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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
National League | Gameweek 28
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Chigwell Construction Stadium
Chesterfield

Dag & Red
1 - 2
Chesterfield

Hill (54')
Appiah-Forson (64'), Hessenthaler (82'), Eastman (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berry (31'), Dobra (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Dagenham & Redbridge and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League

We said: Dagenham & Redbridge 1-3 Chesterfield

On the back of defeating Rochdale at the weekend, Dagenham & Redbridge will be confident of causing a surprise against the leaders. However, we cannot back against Chesterfield in any fixture at this level, leading us to predict a hard-earned win with several goals being scored in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesterfield in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chesterfield.

Result
Dagenham & RedbridgeDrawChesterfield
31.23% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.17% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 44.6% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.19% (0.336 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.85% (0.436 0.44)43.15% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.45% (0.43 0.43)65.55% (-0.42999999999999 -0.43)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.227 0.23)26.45% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (0.299 0.3)61.63% (-0.297 -0.3)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.47% (0.209 0.21)19.53% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.58% (0.341 0.34)51.42% (-0.341 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Dagenham & Redbridge 31.23%
    Chesterfield 44.6%
    Draw 24.16%
Dagenham & RedbridgeDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.87% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.23%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.6%

How you voted: Dag & Red vs Chesterfield

Dagenham & Redbridge
28.6%
Draw
7.1%
Chesterfield
64.3%
14
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Chesterfield
3-1
Dag & Red
Colclough (73'), Grigg (90+1' pen.), Banks (90+7')
Grimes (87')
Rees (39')
Tavares (4'), Vincent (52')
Phipps (69')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Chesterfield
2-3
Dag & Red
Horton (55'), Williams (90+2')
Morias (4'), McCallum (17', 44')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Chesterfield
2-1
Dag & Red
Tshimanga (44' pen., 62' pen.)
Khan (30'), Tshimanga (33'), King (68')
Walker (35')
Walker (61'), Rance (65'), Jones (90')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Dag & Red
2-2
Chesterfield
Balanta (13'), Saunders (23')
Reynolds (64'), Vilhete (66'), (84')
(90')
Grimes (50'), Tshimanga (52')
Payne (26'), Grimes (34'), Kellerman (38'), Khan (76'), Whittle (90+3')
Grimes (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet31197560303064
2Forest Green RoversForest Green301711250232762
3York City29186557263160
4Oldham AthleticOldham301510549321755
5Gateshead29157755361952
6Halifax TownHalifax3013983730748
7AltrinchamAltrincham291210749351446
8Rochdale26134938221643
9Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool31101383838043
10Solihull MoorsSolihull30126124642442
11Southend UnitedSouthend30119103632442
12Sutton UnitedSutton29118104038241
13Yeovil TownYeovil30109113436-239
14Eastleigh2991193838038
15Tamworth30108123548-1338
16Woking30810123143-1234
17Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red3089134343033
18Braintree TownBraintree3087152942-1331
19Aldershot TownAldershot28612104248-630
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2985163657-2129
21Fylde2984173559-2428
22WealdstoneWealdstone29511133246-1426
23Boston UnitedBoston2748152444-2020
24Ebbsfleet31110202167-4613


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