Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
70.33% ( -2.13) | 17.55% ( 1.01) | 12.12% ( 1.11) |
Both teams to score 51.82% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.59% ( -1.8) | 38.41% ( 1.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.3% ( -1.93) | 60.7% ( 1.93) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.23% ( -0.96) | 9.77% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.51% ( -2.28) | 32.49% ( 2.27) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.43% ( 0.69) | 42.57% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.07% ( 0.59) | 78.93% ( -0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Altrincham |
2-0 @ 11.24% 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.46) 4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.33) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.91% Total : 70.32% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.55% | 0-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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