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National League | Gameweek 21
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank

Dorking
1 - 0
York City

McShane (21')
Moore (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sanders (59'), John-Lewis (70'), Dyson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and York City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dorking 2-3 Bromley
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 1-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League

We said: Dorking Wanderers 1-1 York City

This fixture brings two teams together with a distinct lack of confidence, and given their league positioning it is one that could change their seasons. However, considering the lack of victories that either have been able to secure lately it would not be a shock to see them share the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawYork City
35.79% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07) 23.14% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 41.07% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Both teams to score 64.58% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.25% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)36.74% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.09% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)58.91% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)20.85% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.46% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)53.53% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (0.0040000000000049 0)18.41% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)49.56% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 35.79%
    York City 41.07%
    Draw 23.13%
Dorking WanderersDrawYork City
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.72% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.79%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.76% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 8.62% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.81% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.61%
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 41.07%

How you voted: Dorking vs York City

Dorking Wanderers
20.0%
Draw
60.0%
York City
20.0%
5
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet37257579324782
2York City36218768353371
3Forest Green RoversForest Green371914457302771
4Oldham AthleticOldham371614754391562
5Gateshead361791065471860
6Halifax TownHalifax351611843331059
7Rochdale331671048291955
8AltrinchamAltrincham3515101056441255
9Southend UnitedSouthend361313104640652
10Eastleigh371313114944552
11Tamworth371212134757-1048
12Sutton UnitedSutton351211124746147
13Solihull MoorsSolihull36137165254-246
14Yeovil TownYeovil371210154150-946
15Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool371015124347-445
16Braintree TownBraintree36119163948-942
17Woking35914123849-1141
18Aldershot TownAldershot34913125256-440
19Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red36812164753-636
20Fylde35106194267-2536
21WealdstoneWealdstone34811154258-1635
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead3697204168-2734
23Boston UnitedBoston34710173551-1631
24Ebbsfleet37111252680-5414


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