Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 15.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.61%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wrexham in this match.