Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Barnet |
32.01% ( 4.74) | 26.26% ( 0.92) | 41.72% ( -5.66) |
Both teams to score 52.5% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.99% ( -1.56) | 52% ( 1.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.26% ( -1.36) | 73.74% ( 1.36) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.67% ( 2.64) | 30.33% ( -2.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.49% ( 3.04) | 66.51% ( -3.04) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.35% ( -3.34) | 24.65% ( 3.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.83% ( -4.92) | 59.16% ( 4.92) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Barnet |
1-0 @ 8.92% ( 1.12) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.76) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( 1) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.49) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.52) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.01% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.44) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.57) 0-2 @ 7.33% ( -1.07) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.72) 0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.91) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.43) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.48) Other @ 2.61% Total : 41.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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