Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Gateshead |
35.4% ( -0) | 25.21% ( 0) | 39.39% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.85% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.23% ( -0.01) | 46.77% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.97% ( -0.01) | 69.03% ( 0.01) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.33% ( -0) | 25.68% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.42% ( -0.01) | 60.59% ( 0.01) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% ( -0) | 23.51% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.46% ( -0) | 57.54% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Gateshead |
1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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