Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maidstone United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
44.69% ( -4.73) | 24.53% ( 0.81) | 30.77% ( 3.93) |
Both teams to score 57.68% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.98% ( -1.24) | 45.02% ( 1.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.63% ( -1.2) | 67.37% ( 1.2) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.74% ( -2.43) | 20.25% ( 2.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.4% ( -4.03) | 52.59% ( 4.03) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% ( 2.13) | 27.67% ( -2.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.78% ( 2.65) | 63.22% ( -2.65) |
Score Analysis |
Maidstone United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.38) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.75) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.61) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.74) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.42) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.44) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.69% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.67) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.77) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.73) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.45) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.41) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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