Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
36.75% ( -1.44) | 24.87% ( 0.5) | 38.38% ( 0.94) |
Both teams to score 58.2% ( -1.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.92% ( -2.4) | 45.08% ( 2.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.57% ( -2.35) | 67.43% ( 2.34) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.86% ( -1.84) | 24.14% ( 1.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.55% ( -2.68) | 58.45% ( 2.68) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.72% ( -0.59) | 23.28% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.79% ( -0.87) | 57.21% ( 0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.75% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.56) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.68) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 63 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 29 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 59 |
3 | York City | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 57 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 51 |
5 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 45 |
7 | Rochdale | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 42 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 39 |
13 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
20 | Fylde | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 28 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 26 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 30 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 21 | 67 | -46 | 12 |
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