Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.